Statistical and Mathematical Ecology

extinction equation

 

(this site under construction)

The equation displayed represents the probability of extinction of an ecological population experiencing an Allee effect at low abundances but that otherwise would grow exponentially at higher abundances.  In the equation, the (Greek) letter xi is the extinction probability, lambda is the per-individual birth rate, mu is the per-individual death rate, m is the initial population size, and theta is the population size at which half the population members are able to reproduce.  The expression turns out to be the summed tail probabilities of a negative binomial distribution.  See:  Dennis, B. 1989. Allee effects: population growth, critical density, and the chance of extinction. Natural Resource Modeling 3:481-538. 

 

Brian Dennis, Professor Emeritus

Department of Fish and Wildlife Sciences

And

Department of Mathematics and Statistical Science

University of Idaho, USA

 

Posted here are items of interest (to me at least) concerning various topics in statistical and mathematical ecology, along with some materials formerly posted at the now-discontinued webspace for faculty at University of Idaho.

Comments/questions welcome. I am easy to find.

 

Online UI courses:

 

            Statistical Ecology (Wlf/Stat 5550, video course through UI Engineering Outreach)

            Course syllabus

 

            R Programming (Stat 4270, correspondence course through Independent Study in Idaho)

 

Reprints available

 

Evidential analysis

 

Data cloning

 

Allee effects

 

Logistic model

 

Book: The R Student Companion, available here, here, and here.

            One of the most elementary introductions to programming and the R language

             for scientific/statistical computing. Examples from real science!

            Read reviews here.

            New book website with scripts, typos here (replaces the one in the Preface).

 

Fun With quadratic equations

            Roots

            Golden rectangle

 

Quick guide to probability concepts

 

The normal distribution